Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 389.057052 442.581459 502.307689 574.171288 658.655546 755.262657 874.719976
2025-09-14 302.619478 370.245069 452.633884 561.463328 703.031289 883.160089 1133.278280
2025-09-21 259.752298 332.947554 427.342676 560.010036 744.921908 998.510509 1381.508188
2025-09-28 221.706743 294.287822 392.011189 536.081810 748.076698 1056.814878 1556.460581
2025-10-05 206.731041 283.597129 391.411153 557.855956 816.140586 1215.547342 1909.155474
2025-10-12 195.782596 276.622696 394.275615 583.738939 892.635901 1398.215942 2338.212538
2025-10-19 181.175493 262.335233 384.154692 587.459394 933.278222 1528.017030 2703.018207
2025-10-26 164.828457 243.564575 364.825296 573.377698 941.177999 1601.378329 2977.326050
2025-11-02 151.752733 228.499649 349.557791 563.723984 954.597563 1685.660244 3290.957190
2025-11-09 145.257307 223.166489 349.260156 579.278543 1015.179162 1868.589908 3856.580791
2025-11-16 136.061440 212.554580 339.036241 575.780425 1038.985752 1982.202918 4295.920405
2025-11-23 127.045656 201.454636 326.880029 567.184298 1051.276426 2073.482602 4705.588497
2025-11-30 120.399286 194.036978 320.794818 569.956546 1088.408578 2228.717577 5331.980237
2025-12-07 112.193118 183.299150 307.890986 558.202271 1093.748852 2314.163479 5801.903191
2025-12-14 106.251831 176.054375 300.628788 556.664539 1120.718172 2455.423920 6476.520331
2025-12-21 97.945776 163.962261 283.368720 532.916241 1094.700487 2461.963380 6749.246616
2025-12-28 96.074438 163.405880 287.757759 554.535194 1176.003715 2758.074856 8051.916348
2026-01-04 94.732750 163.696539 293.750674 580.233672 1271.295955 3114.225535 9718.575654
2026-01-11 91.009281 159.208747 289.931963 583.927438 1312.991698 3331.158041 10980.772226
2026-01-18 85.731620 151.384788 278.798390 569.946524 1307.531457 3409.558795 11739.042603
2026-01-25 81.304170 144.929513 269.969701 560.361624 1312.306544 3520.698719 12688.995129
2026-02-01 79.583869 143.668490 271.755277 575.805195 1386.922024 3869.753197 14871.900828
2026-02-08 76.240588 138.952408 265.906728 572.332088 1408.685201 4052.285914 16385.856790